But the probabilities have everything to do with it. Now, you might ask, what do these marbles have to do with the lottery? Absolutely nothing. If we were to hold 10 draws, then the probability will be: In layman’s term, we can say that the white marbles will get picked 90x every 100 draws, and the black marbles will only get picked 10x every 100 draws. P(black) = (5 / 50) x 100 = 10% chances of getting drawn P(white) = ( 45 / 50 ) x 100 = 90% chances of getting drawn In the case of the black and white marbles above, the chances of drawing a white marble are 45 in 50 whereas the chances of getting a black marble are 5 in 50. In mathematics, probability is the likelihood of one or more events happening divided by the number of possible outcomes. On the third pick, you are still more likely to draw a white marble for the same reason. So therefore, getting a white marble on the second pick is likely to occur because the probability leans towards the white marble getting picked more often. We will not discuss these 2 methods comprehensively.įor now, all you need to know is that if we replace the marble in the bag each time we pick, then the probability doesn’t change and each event is independent. One deals with independent events and the other one deals with dependent events. In mathematics, there are 2 methods of measuring probability. If you were to place a wager for $100, what color would you put your money on? Anyone with a sense of simple arithmetic can tell that when you blindly pick a marble from the bunch illustrated above, the likelihood of getting a white marble is extremely high. You see from the image above, the white marbles outnumber the five black marbles. To understand the mathematical concept involved in playing the lottery, let me start this journey with a simple discussion of marbles. So if that sort of thinking is questionable, then what is the probability of winning the lottery? This concept is quite flimsy, as it does not explain why 1,2,3,4,5,6 or 40,41,42,43,44,45 has yet to appear in the history of lottery draws. For example, in a 6/45 lottery format, they say that each 6 number combination has 1 in 8 million chances of getting picked. The traditional school of thought tells us that each lottery combination has the same chances of getting picked in a draw. Then we will compare the theoretical computations with actual lottery game results to prove our conclusion. So having said that, let’s dive deep into the theoretical computations and explain from a mathematical point of view – why lottery results behave in a particular trend. The beauty of math is that you can literally predict the outcome of random events and then later you can prove that you are right. Because undeniably so, the numbers don’t lie.

The looter loteria